Probabilities usually go up when a storm is advancing towards an area. It means nothing, unless it states >50%.. With the storm heading wnw they also have to extend the probablities westerly. You can see that Miami, Fort Pierce and even points further north on the east coast of florida are covered... The NHC is covering their bases, as the models always mishandle Gulf Storms.. Especially gulf storms this time of the year... The Gulf always is a problem for the NHC and also for the models, so I wouldnt put much stock into either at this point.. Just take a wait and see attitude, and hope the damn thing drifts west or wsw.. (Yeah right).. Either way, I am hoping that it lands somewhere a way from me.. Been through a Cat 5 hurricane already.. Someone elses turn..