temporary diversion.. see the small swirl near 33/72 headed wnw? peculiar.. perhaps all that was to come of bastardi's original pinwheel idea.
isidore has nudged its eye right to the coast. recon found the pressure still at 935mb, but flight level winds still dont extrapolate to cat 4 surface winds. still sort of annoying they arent calling it that way.
upper low off the eastern seaboard is troughing and pulling out.. so ridging should be building from here on. northward component should appear tomorrow or tuesday to isidore.
kyle isnt having a very good day.
td 13.. tough call. the center dash ahead is probably the main center.. but the system is obviously trying to hold on. there is an small upper trough axis over the islands that is causing shearing ahead.. then beyond it northerly shear from isidore's outflow begins. td 13 is pretty disorganized.. but if the slowing of forward motion takes place then it should become a tropical storm.
if the system survives i'd expect it to stay south of puerto rico and possibly hispaniola too.
wave near 32w is getting sheared.. some of its energy is going ne, some should continue westward. new wave coming off as well, nothing organizing out there.
HF 2003z22september