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kyle's getting a good beating now.. no more eye, center is vertically disjoined. not moving much.. dependent on how much is left it will either get dragged out in an amplification.. or more likely just rebuild once the shear subsides, under the ridging to the north. lili has gained some latitude.. maybe kyle is weakening the deep easterly flow and the ridging has turned her up a bit. could turn south of or north of cuba.. if it turns over cuba it wont do much intensification. fairly reliable modeling puts it into the upper yucatan peninsula or the channel.. isnt responding to steering the way models have been predicting, though. probably eventually will get into the gulf, but in what state is hard to say. none of the other basin features merit much comment.. two late season waves somewhat feisty but not going to do much development next 48hr. HF 0220z28september |