Frank P
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Tue Oct 01 2002 02:20 PM
Re: Definitely a jog to the north

Key West radar loop continues to hint of a more WNW to NW motion in lieu of the nhc stated wnw motion... best guess somewhere around 305 to 310 degrees.... I agree that interaction with land could result in a deviation from expected track and Lili could get right back on it again in the open waters... interesting point that it strengthened over land....

GFDL run is out... still to SW LA area... however, Lili is already more north and less west than she should be at this time in the model run... so throw it out as the initialization is already wrong.



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