Ouch! There is now a hurricane watch up for portions of the northern/western GOM coast. To be honest...I really don't give a damn where the storm is going to hit along the watch area...people in that watch area need to get ready NOW. Lili is going to be moving at a fairly good clip (14-16 knots) across the GOM. This doensn't give people much time to prepare, so they need to do it now. I'll say landfall on or just slightly east of Lake Charles, Louisiana by Thursday afternoon.
Lili intensity forecast:
Initial: 90 knots
12: 100 knots
24: 110 knots
36: 115 knots
48: 120 knots
72: 120 knots (nearing north/west GOM coast)
96: 65 knots (inland)
NOT OFFICIAL FORECAST

Kyle: Merely an issue given what it happening with Lili, but NHC is seriously underplaying this storms potential down the line. Is there a reason? Perhaps they are focusing on Lili now, which would be wise given that Kyle is still out at sea. He is slowly regenerating, the area of convection SSE of the center has persisted nicely today, and additional convection is beginning to form on the east side of the center. The center is also very-well defined, just lacking in convection for the time being. A west and southwest motion at 3-6 knots should begin tonight or tomorrow.
Kyle intensity forecast:
Initial: 40 knots
12: 40 knots
24: 45 knots
36: 50 knots
48: 55 knots
72: 55 knots

Kevin