Actually hasn't looked better on IR in at least 48 hours. Does anyone disagree with NHC's forecast track (11pm) as much as I do? NOGAPS is the only model talking quick recurvature, but that's actually on the Peninsula. It's not going to turn out that way. I'm going with a 15% chance of seeing some precip from Kyle before he's outta here. I still like my dual landfall scenario in the same spots.

Oh yeah. Little note in Isidore. Remember when he was near the Isle of Youth and I said that the historical tracks were all going to be off and that Isidore would be making his own track? Final writeup is availble at the NWS BR/NO home page.

Steve