getting pretty far up the list for active storms.. if kyle begins recurving offshore it could be around for a few more days. convection this morning is back to a degree where kyle wont be dissipating, and may start to reintensify. as kyle curves northward and phases in ahead of an approaching shortwave, there could very will be baroclinic deepening. i'd say chances are better than even that kyle reintensifies to a tropical storm.
track is tricky, as if the storm continues westward much longer it will run over land and not reintensify. the majority of model turns kyle offshore, quite close to the space coast, and keeps the center within 25-50 miles of the ne florida and georgia coasts.. taking it inland between hilton head and cape romain in about 48hr. have a feeling we may get t.s. watches posted in this area during the next couple of advisories. there is enough convection back to term it a 'partial cdo'.. as kyle slows down and recurves this will likely increase in coverage. we get recon in this afternoon to tell us for certain, but i'd be willing to bet the storm is strengthening. call right now: tropical storm conditions near the coast from daytona to myrtle beach during the next 72hr.
HF 1324z10october