Unregistered User
(Unregistered)
Sat Oct 12 2002 10:35 AM
Re: Time to look south

Think we need to wait until tomorrow's models runs to get a better handle on what could be marco. First we need to see development. Models differ with AVN/MRF bringing a weaker system over Cuba/Florida on it's way north to move quickly NNE, to the UKMET that waits for development of this energy in the Carolinas, then bombs it out to a huge system heading into N. England. NOGAPS has it developing west of Jamaica then heads it NE into the Bahamas missing Florida, and GFDL (from Kyle run) have it developing north of Honduras then running dangerously close to South Florida then toward the Bahamas.(120 hr frame missing). Can't really make a compromise solution out of this. It's either gonna get pulled north into the Carolinas and develop or it isn't. And if it doesn't, does it follow the track of the model that pulls it north. I doubt it. We need to examine it when it develops and where. No magic here. Let the models show where When it develops. Now that I've said a lot of nothing. Let's wait and see? BTW, how about that system off Africa?? Strange ain't it?? Cheers!!


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