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disturbance (formerly 97L) at the surface crossing the yucatan, with the ridge aloft backing along with it. there is currently inclement weather from the western gulf eastward, where the disturbance will probably slow down to a halt and maybe get a chance to develop some. it is climatologically unlikely that something will try to form in the BOC, but there may be a window of marginal conditions nonetheless. HF 1844z31october |