here is my 2003 guesscast: 13-7-3. down the list to mindy. spread season, august through october most active, not the truncated, september-dominated sort of year 2002 was. even in a supposed 'down' year such as this we still had a fairly high number of named storms, don't suspect the supression of stronger activity will hold for '03. doubt ENSO will be a factor either, imagine more of a normal season with PDO keeping it slightly more active. atlantic sst profile is still trending towards warm overall as well, that shouldnt change with the thermohaline cycle still charged.
my mind has shifted to snow, as i'd like to see more of it this year. nothing on the horizon, but as a faithful bastardi watcher i'm catching the wintertime suggestions. here's to a revival of the caspian connection.
by the way, kevin, your bucs are good, even if they did get bested by the saints. i'd keep an eye on the falcons too, nfc south is full of dangerous teams. michael vick might just run a few circles around those bucs, better get warren sapp to accidentally break his legs.
HF 0423z03december