Hopefully soon-to-be Kate is a fish spinner. The early models take her to close to hurricane strength in 48 hrs., then leveling off. Most trend her north, away from the Leewards -- heading towards....yep...Bermuda. Those poor people don't need anymore anguish. They have already posted TS Warnings in Bermuda for a close brush with Juan; lets hope Kate makes the big turn. If anyone looks at the Weather Underground (or any other site) that lists the historical tracks of Sept. TDs within a couple hundred miles of TD 16, Florida has been hit TWICE directly (one was a CAT 2 and the other a CAT 3 near Jacksonville), and once brushed...so this will need to be watched until any northward turn begins. Hoping Kate just spins the fishes...

Historical tracks link:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200316_climo.html