Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue Oct 21 2003 10:50 PM
Re: nicholas persists, carib

Lots of recurvatures on the horizon. Parma and Ketsana off Japan are both anticipated to recurve. Both will be initially slow. Parma is probably a non-signal, but Ketsana telegraphs a trof in the eastern US in 6-10 days. SOI conflicts slightly with only days 7, 8, 9 and 10 at neutral. Perhaps there will be a gentle trof or something.

Both Westpac storms are pretty slow at first, but particularly Ketsana.

My take? Long term implications are pretty much clouded. WAY outside chance of maybe a south Florida hit or storm moving out to sea just east of FL? Time will tell.

98 West is pretty odd out in the Westpac. You don't see storms develop there every day (see NRL home page for more details).

SW Caribbean still has that witches' brew look to it. I guess that's appropriate coming up on Halloween.

Staying tuned for now.

Steve



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