thats all up to interpretation. it has less convection, but you can see the center now as opposed to a broad trough axis. it is also encountering less easterly shear (with subsidence the problems this system has had so far). low is at 13/46 with the convective bursting within 50 miles nw of the center.
there is ample low level convergence with the wave near 30w. it will probably become a nuisance before long also.
disturbance off the east coast being replaced in a sense by the upper low aided convection east of the bahamas. yet another batch of convection entering the area, but right now no kind of circulation.
cold low cutting off over the north atlantic is knocking the heights down and slowing the fast easterly trade push in the deep tropics.. maybe making prospects better for the african waves.
as i've been suggesting for days, anytime now. really...
HF 1542z02august