Another upper low offshore the TX/MX coast is currently causing a strong area of convergence just west of it...but at the same time is enhancing divergence over our low. This will probably continue to aid convection, but that is all it will do...not a tropical situation at all. Keep in mind this has yet to transition into a warm-core...the interaction between that upper low to the west will not help. That low should scoot south to southeastward over the weekend, and THEN conditions will be a little more conducive for a surface low to develop and perhaps warm-core transition to occur. However...it will be almost immediately afterwards when a shortwave trough digs into the region and create a strong shearing environment. If we don't have a warm-core system by then, we won't have one at all...and given the current setup with the upper low to the west and the lack of surface low, I wouldn't hold my breath.

Bear watching? Definately...but IMO the chance of a classified tropical cyclone is still very slim...