I think it's slowly starting to heat up in the tropics. The MJO is phasing into the tropical Atlantic very soon, the SOI seems to be staying slightly positive and the SST's are heating up. Just a matter of time. Probably the first storm will be in the Gulf from a wave mixing with a stalled front. This seems like the year where somewhere there will be a major hit. Hope I'm wrong though. After Andrew I wish nothing of the kind but the way the summer pattern is setting up someone along the east coast is going to get slammed. So be prepared this year. It only takes one.