h2ocean
(Weather Hobbyist)
Wed Jul 07 2004 10:44 PM
Re: African wave potential?

Check out the below link...there is certainly some circulation to this....the question remains - will convection develop near the center?

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html

...and from the 8pm Tropical Discussion...

THE FLOW REMAINS IMPRESSIVE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOW/MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOWING UP NEAR 14N35W. HOWEVER...THERE IS NO CLEAR INDICATION THAT THE CIRCULATION IS CLOSED AT THE SURFACE AND WOULD RATHER WAIT TO SEE A QUIKSCAT PASS...AND MAYBE A LITTLE MORE TSTM ACTIVITY...BEFORE ANALYZING A SURFACE LOW. THE WAVE IS ALSO TRUDGING THROUGH A STABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH DRY MID/UPPER LEVEL
AIR AND SAHARAN DUST TO THE N AND W BEING DRAWN INTO THE CIRCULATION...WHICH IS PROBABLY LIMITING THE SHOWER/TSTM COVERAGE.


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