Rob,

If what you are saying is correct, and I have no reason to believe otherwise as you & Jason have nailed this season so far, would you think what looks like the final african wave for a while will be the last best hope for any development before mid-August? Or is even that a remote (at best) possibility?

Always enjoy your explanations as you put them in terms we all understand and you back up everything you say with sound meterological data.

Also, several posts ago, I believe it was Robert, questioned NHC's handling of two storms...others have also posted about it. His point was that NHC failed to classify the Hispaniola disaster a TS, and he felt the Bermuda system a month ago should have been classified. His point was about analogs...were these indeed named storms (or at least TDs), we need to look at different years for our analogs. I was just wondering if you might have seen that post and if you had any thoughts on it. Thanks,

Cheers,

LI Phil