brief.. so hang on..
think joe is wrong and hes in good company
think that its not following his or anyone's time plan and the longer that it sits out there.. the more you have to wonder on a more westerly, wnw scenario as eventually the high will build in and shove it west ..not up the coast.

if it had formed on time yesterday..we'd be talking carolinas
it didnt
it might not today
wouldn't count it out
if it has a chance its for a later time plan and that route is further south with every passing day

gulf.. hey wheres the convection?
always wanted to see havana myself..

its there somewhere i think, playing possum

but two bullies are hanging out in their own little pack talking tough but not really DOING anything

wave out by africa is kick ass.. can i say that here or will that get edited, bummer.. if so.. then edit it that bobbi likes the african wave

early but .. has more twist and shout than either of the invests

and... think its a another day of watching and waiting, not sure nhc isnt wishcasting here but... well.. both could affect populated areas so they have to be cautous cautious? oh heck

and.. you are right hank.. this wasnt a brief post.

you want brief?

NOT TODAY.

good melbourne discussion..MON-THU...LATEST GFS SHOWS THE ATLANTIC RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING SOUTH AS A SURFACE TROUGH PUSHES TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE GULF SYSTEM IS SHOWN MOVING VERY SLOWLY EARLY THEN SHIFTING NORTHEAST TO OFF THE CAROLINAS LATE IN THE PERIOD. NEEDLESS TO SAY...THERE IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER THERE WILL BE A TROPICAL SYSTEM AT ALL...LET ALONE WHERE IT WILL BE AT ANY GIVEN MOMENT IN THE FUTURE. WITH A LARGE SCALE SOUTH FLOW PROGGED...HAVE TO FIGURE ON PLENTY OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA REGARDLESS OF WHAT GOES ON IN A TROPICAL SENSE. THEREFORE WILL PLAN ON SCATTERED POPS THROUGH THE PERIOD.