I was just thinking about MJO when i scrolled down and saw steve's post give it mention. All this activity with a negative MJO, wonder what will happen when the MJO goes positive. Steve or anyone correct me if i wrong but a negative NAO is positive for tropical development, but is a negative SOI a postive for tropical development?

I still don't fully understand these phenomena, just try to remember which values correspond to development.

Also noticing Earl on the IR, has really begun to pull itself together.