it's early. often these systems have a way of working out for the better.. charley being the only major exception to that rule in the last ten years. frances has already been hyped out the wazoo.. and it's still a week or so away. remember earl had lots of people pretty worked up just two weeks ago, and look what happened there. isabel, lili, floyd, opal.. there is a long list of recent systems that could have been storm of the century, but fumbled ashore as 10-25 year storms.. odds are frances will find a way to do the same.. assuming it makes it across (still not a certainty, but becoming a better bet with time).
HF 0450z28august