well I think your fear is legit...still too early to tell, but most of the lastest model runs, at least the ones the NHC rely on, are still trending towards S FL.... some even taking it into the GOM... as the GFS does ..... things change with hurricanes.... as I've harped endlessly, its all about the ridge with Frances... hurricanes track around em, NOT through em... and this one will probably do that if the ridge is as strong as they are forecasting.... where the northwest to norht turn will occur is anybodys guess.... providing of course the ridge doesn't fall completely apart and we end up with another Floyd type track... which doesn't appear to be a strong possibility at the moment.... but nothing is impossible with these things...