I brlieve the intensity level is down...89kt flight level should not support 120mph...but we'll see. The sat pics show that Frances is now moving north of west pretty much as predicted.
My question is what the role of the ULL now rotating ove the Southern Bahamas will have on Frances track...It has not moved too much today...If it stays south and west of Frances, it could enhance inensity and help throw the storm back to the west in a hard turn, as some here and some of the model graphics seem to now begin to suggest.
Any way for now, I sense the intensity will fall to CAT II.