I'm still with my southern North Carolina call from last week (yeah, that's south of the Outer Banks). I could be a tad far north to be sure.

Anyway, Ken Aucion (former Fox8 #2 Met know Chief at a station in Columbia, SC) also thinks Frances has a great shot of attaining Cat V status. Bastardi think it can get down a slow as 925mb but if it follows his track, he thinks it's weakening at landfall.

He also did a nice expose of a SE flow this year which would tend to concentrate the rain and storms a certain way (e.g. Gulf wouldn't probably get hit from a long tracked storm but more likely from something developing out of the Caribbean or Gulf itself.

Steve

PS - A rickonboat post without a cat 5 call for Mobile is a day without vitamin c - serious time or not.