yeah its simple... she starts moving nw.... ridge is breaking down... next 24 hours critical for GOM interests....

NHC seems to have a lot of confidence in their forecast with her right now... but they always want to surprise ya......

I'll just wait and see where she exits the west coast.. ... hey they are probably right on but still... I think it already tracking below their projected path.... maybe she make up the minor difference in the coming hours....

cudos to Jason as he said many days ago that he thought she'd get into the GOM.... looks like that might happen