Frank P
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sat Sep 11 2004 03:47 AM
Re: Ivan Likely to Landfall in Jamaica Overnight as a Category 5 Hurricane

yeah that SW wobble very noticable on the IR loops.... might be the difference in some areas of Jamaica getting say 120 mph winds as opposed to 150 plus.... won't know till we see the damage reports.... still bad enough as it is

wobble could be caused by interaction of Ivan's overall flow with the mountains of the island and causing it to shift left a tad... or perhaps the ridge is still hanging in there.... do believe at the moment the system is a little south of the official forecast track... as was posted earlier, right after exiting Jamaica start looking for that discernable NW track... that's what the models are predicting... find out soon enough...



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