I agree. NHC has been working within the limits of the model data quite well! No real surprises here. There are some "experts" whose egos are a bit deflated this morning after calling for landfalls in southwest/southern Florida (still very much within the range of possibilities). I've seen many times where the models have shifted one way or another, only to shift back to where they were previously one or two runs later. And then, there's the matter of intensity and timing. I'm more intrigued by the slow down (more so than earlier forecast).