The 5:00 am update is out... and it's time to face the facts! I've read everone's predictions with great interest. But those that still think this thing is going to make landfall along Florida's west coast (Cedar Key??) just aren't seeing the obvious... Ivan has persisted to skew west of all predictions by the NHC as well as posters here. The latest forecaster admits that they would have adjusted the latest track even further westward, were it not for previous models.

Once in the GOM the steering currents will be even weaker, giving less reason to expect a dramatic shift in the course... let alone a 100+ degree turn to the right to get back to FL west coast. I just don't see it... Mobile, Biloxi even New Orleans are now in harms way.