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Guppie.. we all expect a turn. My point is merely that if the current trend continues it will be further west than predicted, as will eventual landfall... by 50 to 80 nm if Ivan continues to fool the NHC as it has done so far. Just look at the 0500 EST position, which is already 15.6 miles SW of its anticipated location which was just predicted on the 2300 EST update... Continously further west than the models, a lot of stored energy and inertia headed WNW, and no significant steering currents to alter its course... New Orleans had better be watching! |