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over time is has slowly gained latitude, and continues to do so... right now, albeit still early out, its right on teh NHC forecast track... but hinting ever so slightly that it must be a shade to the left of the next NHC forecast milestone, see loop below and click on forecast paths in upper right corner.... I do believe that once it dues turn north, and I think it will but I hope it doesn't, it will go right up that longitutide line for a long time... any shift to the NNE or NE,if it happens will come very late in the forecast track as it approaches landfall... but this could be critical in the long run.... also critical will be the strength, climatologically, very few Cat 4 or 5 hurricanes, other than Charley, impact land from the NE.... the trof and/or upper level winds better be quite significant to make this happen.... |