doug
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Sep 13 2004 05:40 PM
Re: model shifts

I have seen that too but have not put any stock into that as the direction is clarly unchanged all morning.
After it clears Cuba and Yucatan to night, then we may see a mor northerly trend...it seems if the set up on that is still out to about 26n along about 87w...there after until the upper air from the west either continues or abates we'll be unable to say what Tuesday will bring.
It looks like the trough along the upper GOMcoast previously discussed has just about reached it apex and is seen to be lifting out to the ne...The high from TEX and the next trough will have to complete the picture...I still believe a right slide from the trac is indicated. no sign of a sharp turn until later in the period.



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