Unregistered User
(Unregistered)
Mon Sep 13 2004 03:40 PM
Re: model shifts

Jason or Clark might want to agree or disagree with this but the showers over the central florida area are NOT from the outer bands of IVAN. They are from a couple different factors such as daytime heating, easterly flow of moisture from the atlantic, and troughiness over the eastern gulf. The outer bands of Ivan are in the keys and extreme southwestern florida.
I also now note a jog to the NNW,, if this turn continues and to the N during the evening then watches and area impact might move further east. Just matters on how much of the digging of the trough comes into the eastern gulf,,,,The strong trough over the rockies is pushing the ridge over Texas and the western gulf alittle more insueing the trough to maybe come alittle more ese then expected eroding the ridge alittle more over the florida-bahamas area.



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