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That trof in the Gulf is still quite sharp, and I figure is centered around 91 west, so I expect Ivan to continue just right of nw for a while longer. Also, the forecast track by the NHC the other day at this point was maybe 50 miles east of where it is. I think that was actually very close, and in a difficult situation as well. I have to tip my hat (when I am wearing one) to the NHC. |