Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Mon Sep 13 2004 11:29 PM
Re: Repost on new ETA

Good post Spock. Bastardi, not usually a follower of the ETA, has had more confidence in the simplistic models than the GFS suite (AVN, GFDL, etc.). He believes their right-bias is directly related to their inability to handoff heat from the tropics to the temperates. He mentioned the other day that the accuweather international guy said the GFS was the KING of South America because they don't have as many temperature variables there. Lemme go make a run and see if he's got a nightly update (he had previously called for a mouth of the river hit and a Camille track, but that was prior to the NNW jog). - No update from Joe. The mid atlantic model maps have been updated at 11:00. Models are really beginning to cluster on the MS coast. Be ready out there!

Steve



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