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Unfourtanetly, I dont suspect its rapid weakening. Probably ERC. The gulf isnt that hostile and isnt suspected to be. The water temps drop off though. Near Cuba the water temps are near 90. The gulf only mid 80's. My local met said that would allow Ivan to weaken below Cat 5 but most likely maintain Cat 3 or 4 intensity. Oh well, Lets hope maybe it does weaken more but I get the idea its just not going to weaken to much. Talk to ya'll when I get back home which hopefully will be Friday or Saturday. Cheers |