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At some point in time, you simply have to trust the NHC and their expertise with these storms. Look, we got hit with two storms this season which is an Extreme Rarity. Most hurricanes that enter the gulf go NW then N and do NOT make a hard NE turn into the peninsula of Florida. We are all sufering from post hurricane stress and think every storm is at our doorstep. This one is the upper gulf coasts storm.
If you read my earlier posts, you would see that I have no problem going with the NHC forecasts. I think they are a little off, but still the best we have. That being said, you are wrong when you say hurricanes don't make hard rights, Charley did. Elena turned completely around and went the other way. So...I will never be convinced that just because the NHC says it's going one way, we should blindly trust that and not pay attention to the storm. It is still well south of us, and Charley is still too fresh.
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