Ronn
(User)
Tue Sep 14 2004 02:43 PM
Re: 00z NOGAPS

Ivan is not going to hook to the NE anytime soon. The trough that has caused the NNW movement during the past 12-18 hours is pulling out, and Ivan will now start being steered by the strong ridge to his east. Ivan will probably start moving more NW before curving NNE ahead of the trough coming from the central US. This places landfall anywhere from the FL panhandle to New Orleans, with my predicted target of Mobile.

Yes, people here in the Tampa Bay area have been in a state of panic, but we would have been more prepared than ever for a significant hurricane. It is doubtful that we will have such a response to future threats in future years.

God Bless,
Ronn


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