>>> Well, Ivan appears to be noticeably weaker today than in past, and has the usual stairstep motion, though, it resembles a sort of slinky motion... upwards.

Shagg...dude...

There is nothing to indicate Ivan is any weaker...don't go by the SSD WV loops...his T#s are still 5.5/6.0 and he's still pumping out 140+ winds. I'd love to see him weaken, but he's undergoing another ERC so take his visual with a grain of salt.

Recon is finding some pressure rises, but also some pressure drops, and some on this board have opined he may be a CAT V (I'm not buying that...I doubt he can ever regain that status again and I sure hope not). Nevertheless, he's NOT weakening.

All reports up to this point indicate a CAT IV at landfall...and I see nothing out there to stop that from happening...good lord...

Not only is there going to be a whole world of hurt at landfall, but he's going to stall over the weekend, possibly producing 20"+ rainfall amounts...I really REALLY hope I'm wrong with this, but...and I'm not wishcasting or wavemongering here...everything points to a REALLY BAD endgame.

I'm REALLY (I like that word) praying this is not the case...we've seen Strong IV's miracuously drop to weak II's magically just before landfall...that would be the best...just don't see it yet...please let there be something to change my mind.