lol. You do a great job Scott and hit many storms. But you need to loosen up that tie and take some earlier wild guesses and gut feelings. Ivan had the look of an AL/MS storm since it took the path west of the Cuban tip.

Spock,

New Orleans is on 90 and that's why it's been a possibility, though a western outlier. Joe had it brushing or hitting lower Plaquemines Parish/Mouth of the River (something most of usnever think of as a hit because there is always somewhere farther north thereafter). He thought South Mississippi, and he's probably going to be right (though my guess is that Ivan will be coming in near Moss Point/Pascagoula).

It can't be emphasized enough how bad things could get for Mobile, AL. Phil quoted Joe's 9 update, but the videos yesterday and today really hammered the point home. You guys in south Mobile and South Baldwin Counties (as well as Escambia Co. FL and Jackson Co. MS are in for the worst trouble.)

Steve

Steve