Frank P
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Wed Sep 15 2004 04:36 PM
Re: Ivan's eye

Phil, good question, analyzing the latest recon... max winds are 131mph in the east quad... good for me.... max winds in center is 119 mph in the north, not west, again good for me.... bp not falling a little, not good for me... still going north good for me.... still at 88.2 good for me... in spite of a bad situation, I still have good things going for me...

If the eye were to go right over me, moving s to n, my winds would probably go up an additional 10-30 mph, but surge would still not be a problem.. you really have to be in the east quad to get the dangerous surge, an eye right over me would never give me the southerly winds. winds out of the east then west, no south per se... but the thing that would really kill me, and I use that termly quite loosly at the moment, is if the eye were to go just west of me, and I just don't see that happening, or continuing to hope that does not happen.



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