Punta Gorda may have been within the cone when Charley turned. I have been told not to trust anything in the GOM because it is so difficult to predict. However, Charley turned quickly and at the same time, strengthened from a 2 to a 4. All of the local mets called it a good while before the NHC. At least, that was my recollection. I think that this season's storms have really shown that despite all of the technology, it's just not easy to predict where hurricanes will go, especially several days in advance. I will always err on the side of caution.