Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Mon Sep 20 2004 04:28 AM
The Basin Stays Busy

Early this Monday morning the basin is quite active - literally from Atlanta to Greece. Tropical Storm Jeanne now well north of Hispaniola and plodding north at 8mph. Jeanne has slowly reorganized over the past 24 hours and now has sustained winds near 60mph, however, she still lacks a distinctive core, so any additional intensification should be slow. Movement may be just east of due north and I'm beginning to think that she may remain at a safe distance from Florida. She'll be meandering well to the east for another week, so plenty of time to keep an eye on her.

For technical clarity, the center of the remnants of Ivan are moving west southwest toward Atlanta - and still carrying 30 knots of wind. A piece of that energy (an old outer band?) is racing toward the central Florida coast with gusty winds and showers on Monday.

Major Hurricane Karl in the central Atlantic is heading for Cat IV and is expected to remain at sea.

Tropical Depression 13 is located fairly close to Karl to the east southeast and should become Tropical Storm Lisa on Monday or early Tuesday. Its track is now anticipated to be more westward - as Karl pulls north and northeast, he will regenerate a small ridge between himself and the future Lisa.

And if that isn't enough, I'm wondering if I'm looking at a developing tropical cyclone in the central Mediterranean Sea? They do happen, but rarely! Only visual references are METEOSAT and Navy Eastern Atlantic. I guess that it would be part of the Atlantic Basin - where else would you put it???
ED
Event Related Links
Jeanne Models -- This image animated over time
Karl Models -- This image animated over time
Lisa Models -- This image animated over time

General Links

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center