AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1000 AM CDT WED SEP 22 2004

.DISCUSSION...ALL EYES ARE NOW ON THE DISTURBANCE IN THE EASTERN
GULF. THE SYSTEM MAY BE A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THIS AFTN OR TNT.
BLV THE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR ALOFT MAY PREVENT IT FROM STRENGTHENING
TOO MUCH AND WL LKLY KEEP MOST OF THE CONVECTION OF THE NRN
SEMICIRCLE WITH LTL TO NO CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.
MOST OF THE GUIDANCE TAKES THIS SYSTEM TWDS THE MIDDLE AND UPR TX
COASTLINE BY TMW AND FRI AND THEN SLOW IT DOWN ONCE IT REACHES THE
NW GULF. WE WL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

I guess I'm not the only one who thinks it will not get that strong.