Ocala
(Weather Watcher)
Fri Sep 24 2004 02:55 PM
Re: For Georgia coastal residents & north...

Quote:

LI PHil is JB calling a landfall location yet? What is his opinion at the moment...which model is he favoring?




From Accuweather Site

A more west-northwest track will occur toward the Florida coast on Saturday, then landfall may occur Sunday morning between Fort Lauderdale and Cape Canaveral, similar to where Hurricane Frances came ashore three weeks ago. If Jeanne were to make landfall near Fort Lauderdale, it would be very early Sunday morning. If the same occurred near Cape Canaveral, it may hold off until Sunday afternoon given the slope of the central coast. Jeanne could be a major category 3 hurricane at that time causing extensive wind damage and a storm surge of 6-10 feet near or north of landfall. From there, Jeanne will turn northwest across central Florida Sunday and may be capable of producing hurricane-force wind gusts across Orlando, Jacksonville and Savannah. Jeanne will weaken Sunday night and Monday as it tracks from northern Florida into the Carolinas, but will be still be very dangerous with possible flooding rains and wind damage. East of the track, severe weather is possible, including tornadoes. The latest forecast models have come into better agreement that Jeanne will move either along the east coast of Florida and towards the Carolinas, or inland across the Florida Peninsula and into the Southeast. However, the latest NOGAPS model tracks Jeanne across central Florida into the Gulf of Mexico and then into the Florida Panhandle. Residents of the Florida Panhandle to the Northeast should closely monitor the progress of this potentially devastating hurricane.



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