Daytonaman
(Weather Watcher)
Sun Sep 26 2004 10:22 PM
Re: Jeanne the last Landfalling hurricane?

Why does this last paragraph of the 5 pm advisory sound like a "Crazy Ivan" reforecast.
IN COMPARISON TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK PREDICTION AT DAYS 4-5...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SLOWED AND SHIFTED A LITTLE SOUTHWARD. THIS IS BECAUSE THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW SUGGESTING THAT JEANNE'S EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT MIGHT NOT ACCELERATE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AS EARLIER INDICATED. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL PARTIALLY CUT OFF FROM THE MAIN WESTERLIES...SLOW SOMEWHAT...AND
START MOVING MORE SOUTHWARD NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
Survived a 3rd one in Port Orange...have power (does a backflip)...very little damage around our neighborhood...did see one tree on a duplex and minor street flooding but that is about it around here.



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