I was looking at the models they all now seem to want to pull something from the EPAC now to the Carib.The NOGAPS was the last to come on board.The thing I notice between the models is the time frame that they deal with the system.The CMC and NOGAPS has the system off the W coast of CAmerica in 144hrs.Then you have the UKMET and GFS with the system S of Cuba in 144hrs.The last two seem to have the system moving due UL exiting the E coast of the CONUS at that time.That would move it up over Cuba or PR then.The CMC seems to overdue the intensity.If the models still show this come Wed. or Thurs. there might be something to it.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/