Rich B
(British Meteorologist)
Tue May 17 2005 04:08 PM
East Pacific System

Well looks like the system in the eastern Pacific is getting much better organised now, with deep convection and some banding features. Wouldnt be surprised to see this classified possibly later today. This mornings TRMM pass showed winds of 25 to 30 knots with this system. The NHC also continues running models on this system, which now bring it to near Tropical Storm intensity within 36 hours, and continue to take it across central America to just south of western Cuba.



000

WHXX01 KMIA 171245

CHGE77

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.


PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.


.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....


NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR


TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP902005) ON 20050517 1200 UTC


...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...

050517 1200 050518 0000 050518 1200 050519 0000



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 9.7N 95.4W 10.5N 94.6W 11.5N 94.5W 12.6N 94.4W

BAMM 9.7N 95.4W 10.5N 94.9W 11.2N 94.5W 11.9N 94.1W

LBAR 9.7N 95.4W 10.6N 94.5W 11.8N 94.0W 13.4N 93.9W

SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 34KTS 39KTS

DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 34KTS 39KTS



...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...

050519 1200 050520 1200 050521 1200 050522 1200



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMD 13.8N 94.2W 16.7N 92.2W 21.0N 88.4W 26.3N 83.8W

BAMM 12.8N 93.4W 15.3N 89.6W 19.4N 85.2W 22.7N 80.7W

LBAR 14.9N 93.8W 17.6N 92.8W 19.7N 88.5W 23.1N 81.1W

SHIP 44KTS 48KTS 43KTS 31KTS

DSHP 44KTS 32KTS 30KTS 23KTS


...INITIAL CONDITIONS...

LATCUR = 9.7N LONCUR = 95.4W DIRCUR = 80DEG SPDCUR = 4KT

LATM12 = 9.6N LONM12 = 96.2W DIRM12 = 83DEG SPDM12 = 4KT

LATM24 = 9.4N LONM24 = 96.9W

WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 20KT

CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D

RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....





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