Oooh - ouch for Mobile if this is true.

Even a Mobile hit would not worry me nearly as much as anything to the west of Pascagoula...a hit right on Mobile Bay would mainly affect Gulf Shores and Foley area. There would be a lot of wind, but for Pascagoula the winds would be blowing offshore and subsequently to the east. The water is much more of an issue than wind for places like Ocean Springs, Gautier, Pascagoula, Moss Point, Mobile, and the strength is so localized around the center of the storm that it really makes a huge difference where the eye hits.

This is the thing that really annoys me about the TV predictions and the things said on TWC. Of course the storm is large and its effects will be felt over a large area. But only a very small area, just to the right of the eye at landfall, is in extreme serious danger (broadly speaking). To the people on the Gulf Coast, that is really the thing that they need to know, the thing that is going to make the huge difference. Are they going to be in that small area? Because if not, usually they can ride out the storm, even if they have some minor flooding. But Pascagoula is surrounded by water; a large part of Jackson Co is estuary. Flooding would be the main concern, especially with the forecast that Dennis will probably not strengthen above CAT 3. So the difference between an eyewall landing to the east, and to the west, is like night and day. Even if the eyewall came over the MS/AL border say by Grand Bay, Pascagoula would get a lot of wind, but that would not be nearly as devastating as an eyewall landing ten miles to the west.

Well, at least, the time of landfall seems like it will coincide with low tide.