Clark
(Meteorologist)
Thu Jul 14 2005 11:01 PM
Wave potential

Something that hasn't received a lot of press in the mainstream -- but is receiving some buzz in the community -- is the potential for very high waves in association with Emily. Essentially, the rapid forward speed of the storm comes close to matching that of the wave propagation outward from the storm, meaning that the waves become trapped within the storm's circulation. As this happens, they continue to grow in response to the high wind speeds and accumulation of energy. This will have the greatest impact to areas to the right of the storm's motion, as this is where the waves will be crashing upon landfall.

Current forecasts are for wave heights -- not surge -- of over 20ft. offshore of the Yucutan in a few days, decreasing into the mid-to-high teens as the storm makes landfall. The coastline of Jamaica may well see these high waves as well...and if the storm passes near enough to them, may take out some of the wave energy and spare the Mexican/Central American coastline. Needless to say, for whichever landmass is most affected by this storm's waves, the potential for damage due to coastal flooding far exceeds that seen with Dennis and is something to watch over the next 3 days.



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