Just doing a little speculating before I hit the hay...At first glance the early stage of the current run of the FSU appear to shift the track a tad further north. Should be interesting in the morning to see whether the end result of the current fsu model is any further north (just guessing, but maybe just southwest of Houston?). Perhaps even closer to western LA if the model takes it north of Jamaica.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/EMILY.track.png

Always fun to be devils advocate and play the watch every millimeter move one single computer model makes game.