Storm Cooper
(User)
Thu Jul 28 2005 06:57 PM
Re: Franklin Reintensifies, 92L Bears Watching

Part of the AFD from Tally....

.LONG TERM (MON-THU)...
THE 06 UTC GFS AND 00 UTC ECMWF ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN
TAKING THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA
NORTHWARD AND WEAKENING IT, AS A DEEP LAYER RIDGE BUILDS OVER OUR
AREA. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN POPS RETURNING TO CLIMATOLOGY (WHICH IS
ABOUT 40 PERCENT FROM 12 TO 24 UTC THIS TIME OF YEAR), AND NEAR-
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE
CURRENTLY 550 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL
INTENSIFY AND HAVE SOME IMPACT ON OUR AREA LATE NEXT WEEK, BUT IT IS
TOO EARLY TO TELL SINCE IT COULD TURN NORTHWARD EAST OF FLORIDA IF
THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE DOES NOT BUILD AS STRONGLY AS SUGGESTED BY
THE GFS.

Interesting...



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